Showing posts with label buzz. Show all posts
Showing posts with label buzz. Show all posts

Saturday, January 24, 2009

Lakeview (Chicago) Condos & Townhomes Chicago Home Buzz


Total condos and townhomes units sold in Chicago's Lakeview neighborhood were down 37% with 245 units sold in the fourth quarter, 2008 compared with 391 units sold in the fourth quarter, 2007. The median sales prices were down 9% to $315.000 from $347,000 in 2007 4Q and the average condo and townhome prices were down 36% in 2008 to $241,592 compared with $376,131 in 2007. Average market time was up 9% to 104 days.

Listen to the local professionals and look at the real numbers when trying to make sense of today's real estate market and your local micro-real estate economy. Even these numbers cannot be read on face value. Drill downs are required!


For more information and a Chicago Home Buzz market report visitwww.ChicagoHomeBuzz.com where this data will be available soon.

Jim

Wednesday, October 15, 2008

Chicago Home Sales Activity for the Third Quarter, 2008: The Chicago Home Buzz

Beware of summaries. They are for losers. Beware of the pessimist or the optimist. Look for the micro-economist in your neighborhood. This is an historic time in our national economy and it really is incredible to watch since it is directly affecting each and every one of us. General summaries and market data are for losers and we frown on them. Why? Real estate operates in a local economy. Block by block, street by street, subdivision by subdivision. One street could be booming and the next street busting. Beware the pessimists or the optimists. Look for the micro-economist in your neighborhood. Look at our median sales summary in our Chicago Home Buzz report: Median prices up almost 25%! Wow! This economy is doing great! Read on…summary points of view are worthless such as our summary used as an example of skewed data. The media in their infinitely diluted viewpoint continues to under report (or over sensationalize) the actual state of the real estate market. To their defense, it is impossible to write detailed reporting on the market because the real estate market operates on both a macro and micro level. Even when you get down to what you think is a micro-level, Gold Coast goes and screws everything up! The real estate macro-economic condition is obviously just as important to each of us as what is happening in our back yards as evident by the turmoil in the markets. I’ll refrain from getting into details about why we are where we are but needless to say “A” grade securities which included junk, sub-prime mortgages (mortgages given to people who had no right getting a loan) were traded on Wall Street and across the global market at a hugely profitable speed and no regulator or moderator or Hedge Fund manager wanted that gravy train to stop. Trillions were made just as trillions were just lost in these past few weeks. That said, let’s focus on what the crux of this Chicago Market report is about. Our LOCAL MICRO-ECONOMY. Chicago as compared to national indexes is doing well in many areas, and not so well in others. Our report focuses on the north side of Chicago with a focus on SINGLE FAMILY homes in the Fall Quarter, 2008 compared with Fall Quarter, 2007. Median Price Activity for the Third Quarter, 2008 in Chicago: Taking the Gold Coast/Loop out of the equation, median sales prices for the quarter dropped almost 14% to $412,444 down from $470,141 in 2007. If you add that area back in there is actually a 24.4% increase in median price, but that is because the single-family home median sales price had a few large transactions pushing the median price for the entire North Section up. All other areas showed a decline of median prices compared with last year with the WEST area leading the decline with an average 85% price drop on sales from $228,867 down to only $123,481. This is in large part due to the number of foreclosures leading the sales in this area. West Garfield Park led the decline in a staggering display of depreciation for the area with 5 units sold (up from only 3 in 2007) but a drop in median price from $189,000 down to a paltry $12,500, a 93% decline in median price. North Lawndale (down 78%), East Garfield Park (down 73%) and Humbolt Park (down 53%) were among the area leaders of decline in value. On the positive side, once again one of my HEAVY BULLISH neighborhoods (for condos, multi-unit or single-family investments) continues to be Lakeview in the LAKESHORE area. Median Prices saw a whopping 15% INCREASE from $1,041,250 up to $1,200,000 (average prices too saw an increase up 13%). Rogers Park too saw an unexpected increase in median price single-family homes up 11% from the previous quarter with a median sales price of $456,000. The bad news there was it took an increased market time average of 279 days UP 862% from 2007’s short 29 day market average. The leading declining area for the quarter was Uptown , West Ridge and Lincoln Square (down 21%, 18% and 17% ) for the area. Overall however, the Lakeshore section was down 5% for the quarter. Very little good news for the NORTHWEST section with the area prices down 18% from a median sale price of $387,450 to $329,357. The good news was the area saw good sales volume in units (there are deals to be had). The NORTH CENTRAL section saw Avondale and Albany Park leading area decliners down 30% and 23% but West Town (Wicker Park/Ukranian Village) saw a 5% increase in median price up to $727,000 for a median price home up from $690,000 last year. Bucktown/Logan Square too saw a slight uptick in median prices to $693,000 from $670,000 last year (average prices jumped 15% to $804,804 from $702,666 last year). Unit Activity: Total units sold is down only 70 units across the North Section (-8.5%). The NORTHWEST section of the city is only showing 3% less units sold down from 296 to 286. In that same section, Norwood Park saw a 15% jump in sales from 54 units up to 62 and Dunning saw a significant uptick from 56 units sold in 2007 to 70 this quarter, 2008. However, some losers on units sold were Edison Park with a whopping 48% decline in units sold down to 14 units from 27 in 2007 and Jefferson Park down almost 30% from 45 units to only 32 this past quarter. Moving to the CENTRAL area, Avondale saw a whopping 183 increase in units sold up from 6 in 2007 to 17 in 2008 but the area saw an overall decline of 5% for the quarter. The WEST section saw an overall drop of 12% but areas like Belmont Cragin and Humbolt Park where single-family homes abound saw significant drops in unit volume down 30% and 13% respectively. The NORTH section dropped from 179 units to 170 however, the big news there is Avondale (while median prices are down 30%) saw a 183% increase in units sold from 6 to 17 with people most likely taking advantage of the buyers market and finding those deals which are out there. Summaries are for losers. We already know there are pockets (and even pockets within the pockets we are reporting) where there are signs of growth in this dismal market. Overall for the City on the North section market times were longer (up 27.46%) to 185 days with no one area really better than the other. Uptown was the only neighborhood that saw an average market time below 100 at 93 days (down 36% from 2007). However, taking the skewed Gold Coast out of the microscope we can get a better glimpse of the actual numbers for the quarter. Total units sold were down 7.7% from 870 to 808. The median sales price dropped almost 14% with a few exceptions such as Uptown, Bucktown/Logan Square and West Town/Wicker Park which all showed a positive gain in median sales price compared to 3rd quarter 2007. If we do add the Gold Coast back in to the report we are really looking at a very positive gain in median prices for the quarter up 24.39%.

Beware of summaries. They are for losers. Beware of the pessimists or the optimists.

Look for the micro-economist in your neighborhood.



Monday, December 10, 2007

Chicago's Quarterly Housing Market Report

The latest Chicago Home BUZZ report has almost been completed (just awaiting final few weeks of the year) but the results are staggering. The overall decrease from 2006 to 2007 in the fourth quarter was over 130% decrease in total sales volume from just one year ago.

Some of the leading declines in the City of Chicago included the Bucktown/Logan Square (60647) neighborhoods where there was an almost 300% decrease in single-family (detached) home sales from $32,898,835 in total sales in 2006 down to only $8,214,800 for the fourth quarter (2007). The Hyde Park neighborhood (60619) saw single-family homes drop from $3.6M down to under $1M in sales, down 287%.

Rogers Park condominiums saw only 45 sales last quarter, an over 230% decrease from the prior years 149 units.

The suburbs saw some areas with even worse showings including single-family sales in Highland Park where only four homes sold last quarter totaling $1,753,600 in sales down over a whopping 400% from the $8,888,000 last year.

Over all total sales volume for the quarter was $1.5 billion down over 130% from the $3.5 billions last year.

For more information and a free quarterly update of your neighborhood visit our Chicago HOME BUZZ page at
http://www.chicagohomebuzz.com and see all the data and statistics.

If you'd like an Interactive Market Update of your neighborhood request a
Market Snapshot

Finally, if you'd like us to mail you a copy of the Chicago Home Buzz report quarterly just drop us a line 

Stay tuned for more....


Sunday, December 09, 2007

Sub Prime Bailout

As many of you have probably heard, the Federal government has implemented a policy which would give an estimated 1.2 million homeowners out there an extention on their 'teaser rate' loans which are scheduled to go up in the next 6 months.

These rates would be locked or up to five years pending a rebound in the economy and an improvement in the housing industry in general.

It is an interesting yet controversial move because some feel it is only a bandaid and that this may postpone the foreclosure situation until the next administration.

Time will tell.

Here is an article from Inman news on the topic:

Administration, lenders defend rate freeze plan

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Backers say up to 1.2 million loans eligible for refis, workouts
Thursday, December 06, 2007

By Matt Carter
Inman News


A plan to refinance or freeze the interest rates on up to 1.2 million subprime adjustable-rate mortgages for five years is not a "silver bullet" solution for all homeowners, but will help reduce the impact of the housing downturn on the economy and communities affected by foreclosures, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said Thursday.

Paulson was the point man as the Bush administration rolled out a much-anticipated agreement with mortgage lenders and loan servicers in the face of criticism not only from consumer advocates -- some say it won't help enough borrowers -- but warnings from some in the lending industry who said an interest rate freeze could discourage investors from financing future loans.

The agreement has the backing of the American Securitization Forum, which represents companies that issue mortgage backed securities, as well as investors, loan servicers and rating agencies. ASF Executive Director George Miller said the agreement provides a common framework to evaluate borrowers̢۪ situations, and expedites processes for loan servicers to pursue refinancing and loan modification options on a more systematic basis.

The ASF today published a 34-page document outlining procedures for servicers to follow in streamlining refinancings or loan modifications on ARM loans that are scheduled to reset in the next 2 1/2 years.

Paulson said he hoped that the guidelines would be adopted as "customary standard practice across the entire servicing industry," because the current system would "not be sufficient" to handle the 1.8 million owner-occupied subprime ARM resets expected in 2008 and 2009.

According to the framework, loans eligible for streamlined refinancing or modification such as an interest rate freeze must be ARM loans on owner-occupied homes originated between Jan. 1, 2005 and July 31, 2007, with an initial interest rate reset between Jan. 1, 2008 and July 31, 2010.

Under the guidelines, only borrowers with FICO scores less than 660 and facing an increase in monthly payments greater than 10 percent will be eligible for fast-track loan modifications. Borrowers who don't meet the "FICO test" may qualify for loan modifications after individual reviews of their current income and debt obligations.

Although the Bush administration says up to 1.2 million ARM loans may be eligible for refinancing or modifications, the Center for Responsible Lending, estimated that a much smaller number of families -- perhaps 145,000 -- will actually see any relief.

The administration's estimate is based on the belief that nearly two-thirds of the 1.8 million homeowners with subprime ARM loans facing interest rate resets in the next two years can afford their introductory rate, but won̢۪t be able to afford higher payments after their loans reset.

But many subprime borrowers have second, "piggyback" mortgages that pose obstacles to loan modifications, CRL warned, and loan servicers will still have financial incentives to foreclose on loans, rather than engage in workouts.

"The plan relies on voluntary decisions by individual mortgage servicers and investors, (and) does not remove the strong financial and legal incentives servicers have to foreclose on loans rather than modify them," CRL said in a statement. "Recent experience shows that the likelihood of widespread modifications is small under this 'business as usual' approach."

CRL said Congress should also allow bankruptcy judges to modify the terms of mortgage loans for borrowers who file for Chapter 13 bankruptcy protection, saying it could prevent up to 600,000 foreclosures. The lending industry opposes pending legislation that would change the bankruptcy code to do just that, saying it would raise the cost of borrowing (see Inman News story).

The rating agency Standard & Poor's issued a report raising concerns that wholesale interest rate freezes on subprime ARM loans could force it to lower its ratings on subprime mortgage-backed securities (MBS). Such concerns have prompted others in the industry to warn that wholesale loan workouts will discourage investment in MBS, worsening the ongoing credit crunch.

Paulson said the plan, while not perfect, is part of a broader effort the Bush administration has undertaken to address the housing downturn. Those efforts are in two areas, he said: limiting the impacts of the current downturn, and taking steps to protect housing and credit markets in the future by tightening regulations.

To limit the impact of the current downturn, the administration's FHASecure program allows some homeowners who are already in default to refinance into loans guaranteed by the Federal Housing Administration (FHA). HUD Secretary Alphonso Jackson said today that FHA has received 118,000 refinance applications since the program was announced in September, and that 35,000 homeowners have already refinanced into FHA-backed loans.

Jackson said FHA expects to process another 50,000 refinance loans by the end of the year, and that a pending bill to lower FHA down payment requirements, allow it to insure larger mortgages, and expand "risk-based" pricing, would allow FHA to back an additional 250,000 loans by the end of 2008. All told, Jackson said, FHA may be able to guarantee up to 800,000 loans in fiscal year 2008.

On the regulatory front, President Bush said at a press conference today that the Federal Reserve will announce stronger lending standards later this month. HUD and federal banking regulators, Bush said, are taking steps to improve disclosure requirements.

Bush chastised Congress for failing to pass an FHA modernization bill or legislation to reform oversight of the government-sponsored enterprises Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae.

Paulson and James Lockhart, director of the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO), echoed the president's call for a GSE modernization bill.

Lockhart said Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac "have played an extremely important role in supporting the mortgage market as all the problems erupted this summer," growing their market share of all new mortgages to more than 60 percent, up from 38 percent last year.

Although the House passed a GSE reform bill in May, there is disagreement in the Senate over limits on Fannie and Freddie's loan portfolios and whether to raise the $417,000 conforming loan limit.

Sunday, August 12, 2007

Join Me on My Map

Welcome to my map.

When you visit the site just for kicks, add a picture and where you live/work and together we can grow this puppy all over the world.

Pretty cool....

Tuesday, August 07, 2007

Some Available Foreclosures in Chicago

Here is a list of recent foreclosure properties in COOK COUNTY

07/17/07 07CH0018808 Mutual Bank vs. Nicholas Mitchell, 1050 E Oakton St, Des Plaines, Commercial Property, $2,206,900
07/17/07 07CH0018815 Hinsdale Bank & Trust Co vs. Rosewell Dev Llc Na, 6254 N Rockwell St, Chicago, Apartment Building, $2,187,473
07/16/07 07CH0018668 Wells Fargo Bank vs. Chicago H&s Hotel Property Llc Na, 71 E Wacker Dr, Chicago, Commercial Property, $100,785,289
07/24/07 07CH0019407 State Bank Of Countryside vs. Richard Zerth, 12301 S Hobart St, Palos Park, Single Family Residence, $2,006,656
07/24/07 07CH0019408 State Bank Of Countryside vs. Donald E Zerth, 18201 Harper St, Lansing, Single Family Residence, $2,006,656
07/24/07 07CH0019409 State Bank Of Countryside vs. Barbara T Zerth, 14416 S Harrison Ave, Posen, Apartment Building, $2,006,656
07/24/07 07CH0019428 Charter One Bank Na vs. Dharam Vir, 2 E Rand Rd, Mount Prospect, Commercial Property, $2,025,971

Let me know if you are interested in more information on these properties and I will get them to you...or visit my website at http://www.rememberjim.com


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